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[-]x0x74(+4|0)

I feel like the pro-Israel media has learned to just stop covering Israel because we don't hear about an active war in Lebanon very often.

On other future analysis we are thankfully not likely to have a military action in Venezuela this year. Part of that is owing to us running out the year (almost there). But at one point we thought it was pretty likely. On October 10th we thought it would be 72% likely we'd have a direct military conflict by the end of the year. So good on us for at least delaying it to 2026 or hopefully never.

In fact we are down to only 50% odds of it happening by March 31st. If there is a best time to have a war it's later. Because if later happens often enough you have it never. And that's a good thing.

Also, hold your breath on Marijuana being rescheduled any time soon.

[-]GuyWhite0(0|0)

I believe the war prediction with Vz. Maduro knows better than to retaliate…he will be crushed. I predict more cat and mouse stuff until Vz goes broke and Maduro can’t maintain his power.

[-]xoenix2(+2|0)

Don't worry, Soros and Open Society have been crushing Venezuela for a while.

[-]JasonCarswell
3(+3|0)

...he will be crushed.

He's not stupid, people will be harmed, but they won't be crushed quickly nor easily.

Venezuela is a large country with a population ready to resist the hostile takeover and already almost as practiced as Cuba in living under sanctions. It won't be easy for the US, via the military, economically, or global public relations.

[-]GuyWhite0(0|0)

Vz is a failed state run by a criminal dictator. A huge proportion of folks have fled. The rest overwhelmingly voted Maduro out.

So, just where are these patriots and well fed warriors going to come from? Ready to resist? More like ready to overthrow.

[-]JasonCarswell
2(+2|0)

The US is a failed state captured by globalist Zionists determined to collapse the West under "managed decline" and elevate the East while their perpetual war escalates on three fronts - as Orwell predicted.

It's ridiculous to hold any faith in US government after endless examples of military corruption, waste, and murder.

[-]newJiminy1(+1|0)

Yup and Venezuela is being attacked because they're late on paying their central bank rothschild debt.

[-]x0x71(+1|0)

In a dictatorship the well fed are usually the people that support you. For what it's worth most of the relevant markets aren't that strong on Maduro being ousted. The relevant markets actually say there will never be landfall by US troops. While one market says that we have a 50% odds military contact by March 31st. Another says that chance of invasion up to that same date is only 14% odds. What that suggests is that we are likely to fire off some cruise missiles or have a small naval battle.

Though I don't see what his cave in will be. Not that he would be willing or unwilling to cave. But what does caving look like. The drug boats are private citizens. A lot of the ones we've sunk haven't had drugs. Some of them were going the opposite direction toward Suriname. So what is he supposed to do? Have zero ships ocean. So maybe this is an indication he will be ousted. What is he supposed to do to make them happy besides leave office? Prohibit boats with zero drugs from traveling to Suriname?

[-]GuyWhite0(0|0)

I don’t know the source of your information that zero drug boats were going towards Suriname. None of the news sources I use have run that story.

Drugs and oil are huge cash sources for Maduro. Let’s see how he fares after a few months of a cash diet.

Maduro can call his new cash diet the “Trump diet” just like Maduro’s starving subjects called their situation the “Maduro diet.”

[-]x0x71(+1|0)

These numbers are starting to skyrocket.

[-]newJiminy-2(0|-2)

Lebanon is Hamas hq. They need to be bombed every day.

[-]JasonCarswell
2(+2|0)

Did a Zionist program you to say that?

[-]newJiminy-1(0|-1)

Better than getting tricked by a Hamas programming

[-]JasonCarswell
2(+2|0)

LOL

Is it? Really? So it's better to slaughter thousands upon thousands of innocents?

Show me a believable example of Hamas programming.

[-]newJiminy-1(0|-1)

Focus on Lebanon do you really think they don't deserve to be bombed

[-]JasonCarswell
1(+1|0)

If someone said you deserve to be bombed, and then did it, would you be okay with that?

[-]newJiminy0(0|0)

If someone rolled into your neighborhood with tanks would you fight back. Depends right? Do you have anywhere to run? Any weapons? Don't try to ask complex gotcha questions.

[-]x0x71(+1|0)

Fighting an occupation makes someone evil? It makes no sense. That's the thing about Israel. Morality is just whatever benefits them. They can't ever see anything from the other direction.

[-]newJiminy-1(0|-1)

Lebanon is occupied? Do you mean by Hamas? I suspect you thought Lebanon was in Gaza.

Correct. Israel has built a wall, U.S.A. should as well. Mexicans don't even have to paraglide in to take Americans. But we'd be correct to bomb Mexico to punish them if they did.

[-]x0x71(+1|0)

Lebanon is occupied. Golan Heights. But also it is to say Hamas is a legitimate organization. You are saying Isreal is justified in attacking Lebanon because Hamas is there. But Hamas has as much moral legitimacy as the state of Israel has. It's not a valid justification to say "but we need to bomb the good guys."

[-]newJiminy-1(0|-1)

Lebanon's not occupied, look where they are on a map before joining these types of discussions.

Yeah it's justified. Like all wars thru history if you get invaded it's ok to attack back. Common sense. I get we don't like Israel but don't wrongly support Muslims because of that. Support Israel on the good things they do, criticize them on the bad like banking.

[-]JasonCarswell
1(+1|0)

Israel has the right to defend itself, like anyone, including Palestinians, but Israel ALWAYS attacks, backed by the US - and is at war with 8 nations.

Being against Israel's terrorism doesn't mean anyone supports Muslims much less their terrorism.

Yes Israel's banksters are evil - so is their occupation of the Stolen Heights. Zionism is evil.

[-]newJiminy0(0|0)

Always attacks? False just attacking back when they're attacked.

[-]JasonCarswell
1(+1|0)

@x0x7

There seems to be a limit on downvoting?

[-]x0x71(+1|0)

There isn't a reason why you shouldn't be able to downvote there.

[-]newJiminy1(+1|0)

Did you try to downvote me tons of times with other names

[-]JasonCarswell
2(+2|0)

I only use this one name.
I don't need lame tricks.
If my ideas and words need improvement, anyone can let me know, and I am free to try to learn.

[-]newJiminy0(0|0)

Ok I just could tell you were getting mad at me then asked this weird question right here