Interesting - I've never seen anything like a 79% increase in GDP growth rate. So I asked AI: how does us economic growth 2025 compare with 2024?
"US economic growth in 2025 is generally expected to slow down compared to the stronger performance in 2024, with forecasts suggesting a moderation from around 2.8% full-year growth in 2024 to roughly 1.8% to 2.0% for 2025, driven by factors like cooling consumer spending, tighter labor markets, and higher borrowing costs, despite a strong Q3 2025 rebound in some measures."
Forecasts are just that. The actual results are what is discussed here.
The 2.55 percent was the INITIAL ESTIMATE. Made when the government was shut down. None of the business news stations are disputing the finalized 4.3% growth.
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Interesting - I've never seen anything like a 79% increase in GDP growth rate. So I asked AI: how does us economic growth 2025 compare with 2024?
"US economic growth in 2025 is generally expected to slow down compared to the stronger performance in 2024, with forecasts suggesting a moderation from around 2.8% full-year growth in 2024 to roughly 1.8% to 2.0% for 2025, driven by factors like cooling consumer spending, tighter labor markets, and higher borrowing costs, despite a strong Q3 2025 rebound in some measures."
The forecasts support this:
https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/policy/nowcast/#nowcast/2025:Q4
https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow
And Q3 was closer to 2.55%, not the 'revised' 4.3%, that the Bureau of Economic Statistics reported: https://www.bea.gov/news/2025/gross-domestic-product-3rd-quarter-2025-initial-estimate-and-corporate-profits
(I upvoted this post BTW)
Forecasts are just that. The actual results are what is discussed here.
The 2.55 percent was the INITIAL ESTIMATE. Made when the government was shut down. None of the business news stations are disputing the finalized 4.3% growth.
The impact of the data releases are below the forecasts, where you can also see 'Actual', 'Impact' and 'Nowcast GDP Growth' (forecast): https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/policy/nowcast/#nowcast/2025:Q4